Southeast Asia

The Conflict between Cambodia and Thailand: A Crisis with Domestic Roots

Cambodia–Thailand tensions aren’t just about borders. They reflect domestic politics: an unstable but real Thai democracy versus Cambodia’s entrenched autocracy.

AI and Authoritarianism: Lessons from Myanmar

Myanmar’s December elections are a façade. AI-powered surveillance, facial recognition, and message monitoring have helped the junta crush dissent—locking in rule and offering a blueprint for digital authoritarianism.

Indonesia’s Foreign Policy Re-orientation: Growing Emphasis on De-dollarization and BRICS

Indonesia’s foreign policy is shifting: deeper BRICS engagement, de-dollarization moves, and balanced ties with the US and China signal Jakarta’s push for autonomy, diversification, and a stronger Global South voice.

What’s Driving Closer Cooperation Between Russia and Myanmar?

Russia is deepening ties with Myanmar’s junta as both regimes face Western sanctions. From arms deals to labor migration, Moscow is betting big—but will the embattled Min Aung Hlaing hold on to power?

Qatar’s Housing Investment in Indonesia: Challenges and Future Directions

Qatar plans to invest up to $20B to build 1M apartments in Indonesia. But will Indonesians embrace high-rise living? Cultural preferences, regulations, and sustainability pose key challenges. Can this project succeed?

ICC Arrest of Former Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte: Political Tensions Rise at Home as Dynasties Clash

Rodrigo Duterte’s arrest by ICC ignites tensions in Philippine politics. With Marcos-Duterte feud at its peak, civil unrest looms as power struggles overshadow pressing national issues.

UAE’s Green Bet on Indonesia’s Danantara – A Model for the Middle East

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has taken a decisive step in renewable energy investment with its USD 10 billion commitment to Indonesia’s newest sovereign...

Cambodia’s Tightrope Act: The Hun Sen Dynasty’s Struggle for Survival Between China, the U.S., and the Underworld

An Economy in Free Fall Despite an official economic growth rate of around 5% in 2024—a figure that, as in previous years, remains highly unevenly...

Middle East, Minor Shift: What Sugiono’s Qatar Visit Reveals About Indonesia’s Diplomatic Focus

Foreign Minister Sugiono’s visit to Qatar on March 5, 2025, was a noteworthy but not earth-shattering step in continuing Indonesia’s diplomatic outreach in the...

The Need to Reform Cambodian Agriculture Based on Neighboring Countries’ Experiences and Achievements

Cambodian farmers, the backbone of the country's economy and food security, face persistent and deepening poverty. Low agricultural prices and a lack of market...

Phnom Penh Finally Breaks Its Silence After the Spectacular Assassination of Opposition Figure Lim Kimya

In my article in The Geopolitics dated January 17, 2025, titled "The deafening silence of Hun Sen and the Cambodian government following the assassination of opposition figure...

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What Canada’s Submarine Decision Means for South Korean Arms Exports

Canada's submarine choice highlights a key lesson: modern arms sales depend not only on capability and price, but also on alliances, strategic trust, and long-term security partnerships. South Korea must sell relationships, not just weapons.

Can Abiy Ahmed Afford His Power in Ethiopia’s Political Marketplace?

Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?

BRICS+ cooperation in a complex economic and geopolitical environment: Opportunities and impediments

BRICS+ offers vast potential in trade, technology and local currency cooperation, but geopolitical rivalries and divergent strategic priorities will shape whether it emerges as a cohesive force or remains a loose coalition.

BRICS and De-Dollarization: Is the Global Financial Order Really Changing?

BRICS may not end dollar dominance, but it is accelerating a shift toward a more multipolar financial order where currencies, influence, and economic power are becoming increasingly contested.

Between Two Fronts: Why Japan-South Korea Security Cooperation Is No Longer Optional

Japan and South Korea can no longer afford fragmented security policies. In a Taiwan-Korea dual contingency, coordination is no longer strategic preference, but the foundation of deterrence and regional stability.