Security

The Map Isn’t the War: The Slow Arithmetic Deciding Ukraine

The map isn’t the war. Ukraine is fighting systems—power grids, drones, attrition. Russia leads this phase by compounding pressure, not breakthroughs. Outcome still contested, but arithmetic, not headlines, is deciding January 2026.

The Conflict between Cambodia and Thailand: A Crisis with Domestic Roots

Cambodia–Thailand tensions aren’t just about borders. They reflect domestic politics: an unstable but real Thai democracy versus Cambodia’s entrenched autocracy.

U.S. Leftover Weapons and the Taliban’s Legacy

U.S. weapons left behind after the 2021 Afghanistan withdrawal are now fueling militancy in Pakistan. From Taliban stockpiles to TTP hands, abandoned arms have become active drivers of regional instability.

What the Cuban Missile Crisis Teaches Us About Preventing War in the Taiwan Strait

The Cuban Missile Crisis shows war is often avoided not by deterrence alone, but by restraint, communication, and exit strategies. These lessons are vital as US–China rivalry sharpens across the Taiwan Strait.

Venezuelan Military Preparedness in the Wake of a War Against the US

The U.S. is beating war drums in the Southern Caribbean, raising fears of a showdown with Venezuela. Despite Maduro’s rhetoric and past military buildup, Caracas faces overwhelming odds in any real confrontation.

European Rearmament: Should Ballistic or Cruise Missiles Be Prioritized?

As Europe rearms, the key question looms: ballistic or cruise missiles? Ukraine’s FP-5 shows the logic—cost-effective, precise, and scalable. For Europe, cruise may be the pragmatic path to real deterrence.

‘Hit Deep Inside Russia’: Why is Compellence Even More Difficult Than Deterrence?

Trump’s 50-day ultimatum to Russia shows why compellence fails where deterrence might work. Forcing action from a defiant adversary—especially mid-war—is far tougher than stopping one from acting in the first place.

Why Local African Agencies Struggle Against Transnational Terrorism

Why do African agencies struggle against terrorism? It's not just tech or funds—it's mistrust, political control, poor coordination, and outdated methods in a fast-moving, borderless fight.

Terror and Punishment: Diplomacy Under Siege in the Indian Subcontinent

As leaders trade blame, ordinary people bear the cost—caught between terror, retaliation, and the fading hope of lasting peace in the subcontinent.

Azerbaijan’s Landmine Challenge in Karabakh: A Lingering Threat to Peace

The aftermath of war is often measured not only in the lives lost and infrastructure destroyed, but in the invisible dangers that persist long...

Russia’s Rightful Defense and the Global Consequences of the Russia-Ukraine War

Russia’s war isn’t imperial conquest—it’s a mirror to U.S. actions during the Cuban Missile Crisis. NATO at its doorstep is Moscow’s red line, just as Cuba was for America. Survival, not supremacy.

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India-China Relations in a Turbulent World : The Need for Realistic Expectations

India-China ties are improving, but border tensions, strategic rivalry, and Indo-Pacific competition require realistic expectations. Cooperation can grow, yet enduring differences will continue shaping the relationship.

Why is QUAD Plus Relevant for FOIP?

QUAD Plus can reinforce a Free and Open Indo-Pacific by expanding intelligence, technology, and maritime cooperation, reducing dependence on China and strengthening regional resilience against coercion.

What Canada’s Submarine Decision Means for South Korean Arms Exports

Canada's submarine choice highlights a key lesson: modern arms sales depend not only on capability and price, but also on alliances, strategic trust, and long-term security partnerships. South Korea must sell relationships, not just weapons.

Can Abiy Ahmed Afford His Power in Ethiopia’s Political Marketplace?

Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?

BRICS+ cooperation in a complex economic and geopolitical environment: Opportunities and impediments

BRICS+ offers vast potential in trade, technology and local currency cooperation, but geopolitical rivalries and divergent strategic priorities will shape whether it emerges as a cohesive force or remains a loose coalition.