Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?
As Gulf tensions rise, Pakistan has quietly become the channel neither Washington nor Tehran can afford to lose. Islamabad’s diplomacy is no longer reactive; it is positioning itself at the center of crisis management.
No direct US-Iran talks, no easy off-ramp. As tensions shake oil routes and markets, Pakistan has become the lone bridge between Washington and Tehran. Can Islamabad turn access into diplomacy?
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**Eager to host U.S.-Iran talks, the UAE blew its shot by dispatching hawkish Gargash with Trump’s ultimatum. Tehran snubbed the gesture, opting for Oman’s quiet diplomacy instead.**
Cold War espionage wasn't always black and white. Mossad and the KGB—rivals by ideology—sometimes shared secrets, backchannels, and enemies. Realpolitik trumped loyalty in the shadow games of global intelligence.
Algeria, once a non-aligned power, now stands exposed—economically fragile, diplomatically cornered, and clinging to fading alliances. Its model is cracking. Reform is survival. Delay is decay.
Trump’s Gaza Plan—resettling Palestinians in Jordan and Egypt and turning Gaza into a “Riviera”—sparked backlash from Arab allies, deepened mistrust, and opened the door for China’s quiet rise in the region.
As U.S.-Iran nuclear talks resume, deeper tremors stir within: South Azerbaijani Turks, long suppressed, could reshape Iran’s future. Internal borders may shift—quietly, dangerously, and with global consequences.
As China’s influence in the Middle East grows, Gulf nations are strategically hedging their bets. The U.S. must reassert its dominance, balancing security needs with clear boundaries on ties to Beijing.
The Sunni-Shiite divide isn’t just religious—it’s deeply geopolitical. Alliances cut across sectarian lines, shaped by strategic interests, not faith. Religion is a tool, not the driver of power struggles in the Middle East.
Iran's selective Nowruz policies in West Azerbaijan expose its ethnic power play—empowering Kurdish groups while suppressing Azerbaijani Turks—to counter Turkey and manipulate regional tensions.
Ghana’s bid to join BRICS+ reflects a growing push to diversify economic partnerships without abandoning traditional allies. Could its entry strengthen BRICS’ role in a multipolar world?
India-China ties are improving, but border tensions, strategic rivalry, and Indo-Pacific competition require realistic expectations. Cooperation can grow, yet enduring differences will continue shaping the relationship.
QUAD Plus can reinforce a Free and Open Indo-Pacific by expanding intelligence, technology, and maritime cooperation, reducing dependence on China and strengthening regional resilience against coercion.
Canada's submarine choice highlights a key lesson: modern arms sales depend not only on capability and price, but also on alliances, strategic trust, and long-term security partnerships. South Korea must sell relationships, not just weapons.
Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?
