Geopolitics

Why is QUAD Plus Relevant for FOIP?

QUAD Plus can reinforce a Free and Open Indo-Pacific by expanding intelligence, technology, and maritime cooperation, reducing dependence on China and strengthening regional resilience against coercion.

Can Abiy Ahmed Afford His Power in Ethiopia’s Political Marketplace?

Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?

BRICS and De-Dollarization: Is the Global Financial Order Really Changing?

BRICS may not end dollar dominance, but it is accelerating a shift toward a more multipolar financial order where currencies, influence, and economic power are becoming increasingly contested.

Russia and North Korea’s New Friendship: Tactical Alliance or Strategic Realignment?

Russia and North Korea’s “Comprehensive Strategic Partnership” marks more than convenience—it hints at a long-term realignment reshaping Northeast Asia’s power balance. Pragmatism may be giving way to strategy.

Turkey’s Anchor State Strategy: Why Washington and NATO Need Ankara to Preserve Regional Deterrence

Turkey’s “Anchor State” strategy turns ambiguity into balance. In the Black Sea, Ankara sustains NATO’s deterrence and U.S. credibility—not through dominance, but disciplined realism. Balance, not force, now defines power.

Addressing the Ambiguities of the Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Defence Pact

Pakistan–Saudi Arabia’s new “mutual defence” pact reshapes Middle East security. Beyond deterrence, it hints at a nuclear umbrella, strategic autonomy from Washington, and new risks of regional proliferation.

Infectious Peace, Strategic Prosperity in North Africa: Why It Starts in Tunis

Peace in North Africa starts where reform begins — in Tunis. A free, open, and U.S.-backed Tunisia can anchor a Tunis–Rabat corridor of prosperity, breaking Algeria’s grip and making peace truly infectious.

Bismarck’s Reinsurance Treaty and East Asia’s Fractured Security Order

East Asia risks repeating 19th-century Europe’s mistakes. Like Bismarck’s failed Reinsurance Treaty, ad hoc diplomacy won’t secure peace — only durable, institutional U.S.–Japan–South Korea cooperation can.

Venezuela: The Prelude to an Invasion

Trump’s greenlight for CIA operations in Venezuela marks a dangerous escalation. What begins as covert action could soon become open invasion — with echoes of Iraq and Libya.

Azerbaijan at the Heart of Eurasia’s New Silk Road

Azerbaijan is emerging as Eurasia’s logistics powerhouse — linking East and West through the Middle Corridor and the new Zangezur route, turning geography into opportunity and trade into lasting regional connectivity.

Shared Deterrence, Shared Responsibility: The Legal Fault Lines in the Saudi–Pakistan Nuclear Pact

The Saudi–Pakistan nuclear pact mirrors NATO’s Article 5 but raises serious legal dilemmas—can “shared deterrence” justify collective violations of the UN Charter’s prohibition on force?

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India-China Relations in a Turbulent World : The Need for Realistic Expectations

India-China ties are improving, but border tensions, strategic rivalry, and Indo-Pacific competition require realistic expectations. Cooperation can grow, yet enduring differences will continue shaping the relationship.

Why is QUAD Plus Relevant for FOIP?

QUAD Plus can reinforce a Free and Open Indo-Pacific by expanding intelligence, technology, and maritime cooperation, reducing dependence on China and strengthening regional resilience against coercion.

What Canada’s Submarine Decision Means for South Korean Arms Exports

Canada's submarine choice highlights a key lesson: modern arms sales depend not only on capability and price, but also on alliances, strategic trust, and long-term security partnerships. South Korea must sell relationships, not just weapons.

Can Abiy Ahmed Afford His Power in Ethiopia’s Political Marketplace?

Abiy Ahmed's political capital is shrinking as insecurity, inflation, elite fragmentation, and dependence on external patrons drive up the cost of power. Can Ethiopia's political marketplace sustain his rule much longer?

BRICS+ cooperation in a complex economic and geopolitical environment: Opportunities and impediments

BRICS+ offers vast potential in trade, technology and local currency cooperation, but geopolitical rivalries and divergent strategic priorities will shape whether it emerges as a cohesive force or remains a loose coalition.